← Contrarian's Store Championship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Contrarian's Store Championship
decks
1
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1317
· median 1317
· range 1317–1317
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1176
Q3 1317
1438
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 22.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.1% | -4.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
